// Prediction Engine
Live Prediction Feed
Every prediction is tracked through Created → Active → Monitoring → Near Resolution → Resolved. Outcomes are permanently recorded.
Tracking · Active Predictions
4 openScout · P1Near Resolution
$NEUR to reach +50%
Asset NEUR
Outcome +50% spot
Horizon 7d
Remaining resolved
Progress100%
Confidence at creation72%
Created 20610d ago · Target 1/7/1970
Onchain · P2Near Resolution
$RNDR continued accumulation
Asset RNDR
Outcome Net inflows > $40M
Horizon 14d
Remaining resolved
Progress100%
Confidence at creation81%
Created 20610d ago · Target 1/14/1970
Narrative · P3Near Resolution
AI sector outperforms BTC
Asset AI Basket
Outcome >15% rel. perf
Horizon 30d
Remaining resolved
Progress100%
Confidence at creation68%
Created 20610d ago · Target 1/30/1970
Macro · P4Near Resolution
BTC range bound
Asset BTC
Outcome $92k–$108k
Horizon 10d
Remaining resolved
Progress100%
Confidence at creation74%
Created 20610d ago · Target 1/10/1970
Resolution Engine · Final Outcomes
2 resolved · permanent recordRisk · P5correct
$XAI distribution event
- Expected
- -25% drawdown
- Actual
- -31% realized
- Confidence @ creation
- 77%
- Horizon
- 5d
Resolution: Outcome confirmed against expected window.
Scout · P6incorrect
$POPCAT volume spike
- Expected
- +30% intraday
- Actual
- -4% realized
- Confidence @ creation
- 64%
- Horizon
- 1d
Resolution: Outcome diverged from expected window.